Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 3.682722 4.396457 5.192322 6.142747 7.243904 8.476497 9.957496
2025-08-31 2.644343 3.553238 4.672749 6.141501 8.004644 10.275121 13.235420
2025-09-07 1.986734 2.950246 4.239625 6.066004 8.556440 11.799549 16.301299
2025-09-14 1.484982 2.413140 3.750378 5.775790 8.714309 12.761226 18.678949
2025-09-21 1.197539 2.107238 3.505134 5.747814 9.176675 14.124408 21.676201
2025-09-28 0.982405 1.861260 3.294156 5.715958 9.596207 15.430582 24.675271
2025-10-05 0.888465 1.793032 3.343680 6.081199 10.640314 17.730055 29.309794
2025-10-12 0.781236 1.677764 3.291688 6.263211 11.398213 19.641747 33.494708
2025-10-19 0.703923 1.601577 3.291979 6.525778 12.303297 21.846128 38.293022
2025-10-26 0.606478 1.465327 3.159609 6.530089 12.758230 23.343529 42.052714
2025-11-02 0.500211 1.287875 2.919317 6.299120 12.764496 24.077566 44.589603
2025-11-09 0.413083 1.132934 2.697244 6.068644 12.737138 24.735456 47.024212
2025-11-16 0.357227 1.040126 2.592474 6.063140 13.142302 26.207794 51.019218
2025-11-23 0.311163 0.961017 2.504664 6.080600 13.592776 27.797584 55.340851
2025-11-30 0.266293 0.874089 2.384342 6.011186 13.859653 29.063984 59.162195
2025-12-07 0.216290 0.759837 2.179278 5.724818 13.647795 29.401228 61.284585
2025-12-14 0.187561 0.699188 2.094006 5.697504 13.972792 30.792140 65.471273
2025-12-21 0.162786 0.643822 2.012193 5.666023 14.282406 32.170475 69.717750
2025-12-28 0.156910 0.648019 2.088796 6.028491 15.496895 35.452712 77.873636
2026-01-04 0.144460 0.626863 2.092525 6.209121 16.315311 37.977119 84.677068
2026-01-11 0.135810 0.616870 2.126095 6.469690 17.340273 40.996568 92.644372
2026-01-18 0.120128 0.576594 2.064792 6.473970 17.762628 42.771230 98.186005
2026-01-25 0.100290 0.513787 1.923908 6.244761 17.600989 43.279001 101.146154